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Showing posts with label Households. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Households. Show all posts

Aug 6, 2014

Total Debt (Public and Private) in the United States, Euro Zone, China, Japan and the U.K.

This graph shows the total debt (government, households and firms) for the biggest economies in the world. First, what I think is remarkable is that total debt is for the developing world (except Japan) all around 250 percent of GDP. Second, total debt did not decline since the crisis. In Japan and China (perhaps as expected) it is even rising again.

BBVA Research

Jan 7, 2013

Household Debt Versus Disposable Income (1995-2011)

This graph gives the ratio of total household debt divided by the total of disposable income of the households in countries of the Euro Area and the USA. On average the household debt to income rate was relatively stable in the Euro Area approaching the 100 percent just before the credit crisis from around 70 percent at the beginning of the Euro. The household debt to income ratio was already higher in 1999 in the USA and saw a much bigger increase, but unlike in the Euro Area the ratio has come back quite a lot already in the United States.

The average of around 100 percent currently in the Euro Area is mainly formed by the bigger economies: Germany and France, who have a ratio close to the Euro Area average. There are notable outliners, especially Denmark, The Netherlands and Ireland that have a way bigger ratio of 200 to almost 300 percent.

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Nov 29, 2012

U.S. Consumer Confidence on 5 Year High

U.S. consumer confidence increased to reach a five year high. Will this mean the consumer will spend more in the near future?




Aug 8, 2012

Exploding U.S. Student Loans

Student loans have more than doubled in the five years between 2006 and 2011. Which means a growth rate of about 15 percent per year. With this growth rate total student loans are set to reach one trillion dollars very soon.

Business Insider

Jul 5, 2012

Non-financial U.S. Total Debt

This graph, with data from the United States Federal Reserve, shows the total Credit Market Debt Owed. In other words, this is the total debt outstanding in the United States. That includes both public and private debt, with private debt consisting of households, financial companies and non-financial companies.

You can see that since the 1970s the growth of total debt (red line) started to exceed the growth in the national income. Now total market debt is about four times as high as the national income (GDP).


Business Insider

Jun 15, 2012

Euro Zone Bank Depositis (2009 - June 2012)

This graph shows the change in the Euro Zone bank deposits, with start of 2009 as 100. You can see the bank deposits decline especially in Greece and Ireland, already from the end of 2009. Lately this started also to happen in Spain. Italy is still quite stable. France and Portugal saw their deposits rise especially, in contrast to the lower rise in deposits in Germany.

Reuters

May 25, 2012

Rapid Declinie in Greek Deposits

This graph from Thompson Datastream shows the Greek private sector deposits over the last 20 years. Light brown shows the household + business deposits and the dark brown shows only the business deposits. Clearly the households have been the main driver in bringing down the deposits by huge amounts in the last few years.

Thomposon Datastream

May 1, 2012

United States Sectoral Balance Sheets (1985-2012)

As you can see running up to the crisis households massively increased their borrowing. The government also had substantial deficits in the nineties and after the millennium. The corporate sector was on average almost in balance. Since the crisis a dramatic increase in savings by the private sector made the public sector increase its deficit.

Richard Koo

Apr 30, 2012

Spain Sectoral Balance Sheets

Households (since 1997) and the corporate (since 1999) sector massively increased their borrowing. A big part of the financing of the increased borrowing came from the rest of the world that increased it's savings in Spain by a huge amount. On the contrast the Spanish government decreased spending dramatically. During the crisis the government had to step in because of the high rise in private savings (and lower consumption and investments).
Richard Koo

Apr 23, 2012

Sectoral Balance Sheets Euro Zone

This chart from the OECD shows per sector the net lending/borrowing for the Euro Zone. As you can see the household and the financial sectors are net lending sectors and the non-financial corporations and governments are net borrowing sectors. This means for example for the households that they save more than they borrow for a sector as a whole. This doesn't mean that the borrowing of the households doesn't increase on the other hand.

The total economy shows the net lending/borrwing of the total Euro Zone economy. In  other words when the Euro Zone as a total economy is borrowing, it borrows from the rest of the world, which was the case before the crisis.

Before the crisis households en companies increased their borrowing notably. Since the crisis households and companies started do pay off their debt. Although as you were able to see in other posts this is a long process. The lower demand by the households and the companies was accommodated by an increase in government spending (higher borrowing).

OECD

Mar 14, 2012

Market Share for (Groups of) Car Brands in Western Europe (2011)

You can see that Volkswagen Group as car manufacturing group had the largest market share of western Europe in 2011 with 23 percent for new car registrations. PSA-group (Peugeot and Citroen) came in second with 12,5 percent. Renault Group third (10 percent) and GM fourth (9 percent). Volkswagen was the biggest as stand alone brand, followed by Renault.

Reuters

Mar 13, 2012

Buildup of Total Debt (Consumers, Companies & Gov.) in 80s, 90s and 00s

In the left part of the graph you can see the total debt development for the United States across the Household, Corporate, Government and Government Sponsored Entity sectors. You can see that Great Depression levels are being reached again.

Not for every country data about debt levels are available for such a long period. There is data available however from 1980. In the right panel you can see the debt buildup for the three sectors combined (excluding financial sector) per decade as a percentage of GDP. You can see that from 1980-1990 Belgium, Sweden, Italy and Japan had the highest debt buildup. From 1990-2000 Portugal, Spain, Germany and Italy had the highest increase. From 2000 until 2010 however, Portugal, Spain, U.K., France, U.S. and Greece were among the countries with the highest buildup in their debt across the three sectors.


Feb 14, 2012

Household Debt as a Percentage of GDP (Developed and Emerging Countries)

You can see in the graph from The Economist (with data from Mckinsey) that the Anglo-Saxon countries have the highest household debt of selected countries. The emerging countries have the lowest household debt. As you were able to see in this post with total debt (government, household, financial and non-financial) Britain was also the country with the highest total debt.

Due to a request by the Economist this graph has been removed. 

Jan 29, 2012

Total Debt (Private & Public) 2000-2011

Mckinsey published its follow up on one of my favorite papers. The series is called Debt and Deleveraging. Debt as in countries taking on more debt and deleveraging as in bringing down the debt levels. This graph shows the total debt for some selected countries, which consists of public (government) and private (household, non-financial firms and financial firms) debt. 

As you can see Total Debt is extremely high in Japan and in the U.K. Spain and France have high debt levels as well. South Korea seems to have about average total debt. It would be interesting and a better comparison to see more countries. Also debt is not the only thing that matters. If you look at balance sheets for the public and private actors, as individual companies, it is ofcourse also important to look at the assets.

Mckinsey Photostream on Flickr

Jan 23, 2012

United Kingdom Economy Balance Sheets (Sectors)

This graph shows the financial surplus or deficit by sector for the economy of the United Kingdom. You can see that the government runs structural deficit. This deficit of the government is financed by the private sector and the rest of the world. During the crisis the government deficit exploded. This was not financed by borrowing more from foreigners but only from more private savings.

BBC

Dec 5, 2011

Household Debt In The United States

This graph shows the total household debt in the United States. Orange is motgage loans. HE Revolving is home equity loans. Green is auto loan. Blue is credit card loans and from this quarter student loans are added as well (red). As you can see the american citizen is deleveraging (bringing down its debt), but it takes time. The household debt is about 77% of U.S. GDP.

Nov 27, 2011

11 Million Homes 'Under Water'

This nice graph from Credit Sesame shows the percent of homes per state for which the value of the home is lower than the mortgage being taken on it. Since house prices started to fall many households came into problems because selling their house would mean going broke. This is called a negative equity.

Click on the graph for an interactive version.

Find out how many homes are underwater in your state.
Credit Sesame

Nov 24, 2011

House Prices Around The World (1970-2008)

This chart shows the development of the house prices around the world. In Europe, Belgium, UK, Netherlands, Ireland and Norway had the highest increases in the house prices. Germany, Switzerland, Swden, Italy and France had the lowest increases.

Outside Europe, Australia and Canada had relatively has relatively high house prices and relatively lower in Japans and the U.S.

Especially notice 1995 when in many countries house prices started to rise dramatically.

Business Insider

Oct 25, 2011

Mortgage Debt-To-GDP Ratio

The Netherlands and Denmark had the highest Mortgage Debt-to-GDP ratio in the developed world in 2009 as you can see. Italy and Greece had the lowest ratio. In the Netherlands there is a big tax incentive to get debt by a mortgage. Besides that, it is also possible as one of the only countries in the world to get a mortgage loan of over 100% of the property value. These policies drove up the mortgage debt dramatically.





Sep 12, 2011

The Great Prosterity (1947-79) VS. Great Deregulation (80-now) In The U.S.


This infographic compares the two economic periods after the Second World War in the United States. The Great Prosperity on the one hand, which lasted from 1947-79 and The Great Regression, which I called the Great Deregulation, which lasted from 1980 till now. Especially notice the differences in the connection between productivity growth and income growth and the wealth held by the top 1 percent earners.

Click on the picture for a bigger version.